Dr. Monique Verschuren
Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980: a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants. NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
Lancet 2016; 387: 1513–30, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)00618-8
In this paper, global trends in diabetes have been analysed, based on 751 studies including 4.4 million adults from 146 countries.
Global age-standardised prevalence of diabetes increased in men from 4.3% in 1980 to 9.0% in 2014 and in women from 5.0% in 1980 to 7.9% in 2014. Together with population growth and ageing of populations, the total number of adults with diabetes has increased even stronger, from 108 million in 1980 to 422 million in 2014. The highest national prevalences (found in Oceania, Middle East and north Africa) were five to ten times greater than the lowest prevalences (found in north western Europe).
The authors conclude that if post-2000 trends continue, the chance of meeting the global diabetes targets of the WHO 2025 agenda (halting the rise in prevalence of diabetes at the 2010 level worldwide) is almost zero. Read also the comment by Susana Sans: "The world is getting heavier" on a related article in the Lancet.
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